THE FUTURE OF PAKISTAN
December 2011
TABLE OF CONTENTS
insertâ¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦.. 1
INTRODUCTIONâ¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦.3
PAKISTAN TO 2011â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦. 5
FOUR CLUSTERS
I: Demography, Education, Class, and economic scienceâ¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦.. 16
II: Pakistans Identityâ¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦.. 23
threesome: State Coherenceâ¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦ 27
IV: External and globose Factorsâ¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦...... 34
SCENARIOS AND OUTCOMESâ¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦. 43
CONCLUSIONSâ¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦ 50
SIX WARNING SIGNSâ¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦. 51
POLICY: BETWEEN HOPE AND DESPAIRâ¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦. 52
appendageâ¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦â¦....
56 4
ABBREVIATIONS
CBMs Confidence-building measures
CSIS Center for Strategic and multinational Studies
FATA federally Administered Tribal Areas
GDP Gross Domestic Product
IMF International Monetary Fund
ISI Inter-Services Intelligence
JeI Jamaat-e-Islami
JUI-F Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (Fazlur Rehman)
KP Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa
LeT Lashkar-e-Taiba
MQM Muttahida Pauma military campaign
NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organization
NFC National pay Commission
NGOs Non-governmental organizations
NIC National Intelligence Council
NSC National Security Council
NWFP nor-west Frontier Province
PML Pakistan Muslim League (various factions)
PPP Pakistan quite a littles Party
U.N. United Nations
UNDP United Nations Development curriculum
INTRODUCTION
Pakistans future is important to its neighbors and to states near and far for at least six reasons:
1
It is a atomic weapons state with a very bad record of proliferation.
Pakistan has, as a matter of state policy, actively supported jihadist and militants in its neighbors and has either turned a blind eye or professes incapacity when it comes to opposing militants active in Europe and all the same in friendly China.
The identity-based dispute with India continues, and it is likely that new crises amidst the two...If you want to get a full essay, order it on our website: Ordercustompaper.com
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